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IMO 282 - Probability

Faculty of Education · Secondary School Mathematics Education · Undergraduate

ECTS: 3 T+P+L: 2+0+0 Compulsory
Coordinator: Prof. Dr. İbrahim GÜNEY

Course Objective

The aim of this course is to equip prospective primary school mathematics teachers with the fundamental concepts of probability theory, counting methods, random variables, and significant probability distributions, enabling them to apply these concepts in mathematical modeling and problem-solving.

Course Content

The basic principle of counting; Permutation concept and applications; Combination concept and applications; Binom's theorem; Concept of probability; Basic concepts of probability and probability axioms; Conditional probability and Bayes' theorem; Geometric probability problems; Random variable concept; Probability function; Probability density function; Expected value and variance of random variables; Moment generating functions and moments; Some discrete distributions; Bernoulli, binomial, geometric, hypergeometric, Poisson distributions; Some continuous distributions; Uniform distribution; Exponential distribution; Normal distribution and properties.

Required Resources

Özdemir, A.,Ş.,(2016), Eğitim İstatistiği, Marmara Üniversitesi Yayımevi 

Akdeniz, F. (2017). Olasılık ve istatistik (19. bs.). Nobel Akademik Yayıncılık.

Course Learning Outcomes

  1. They can perform calculations based on the basic principles of counting, permutations, and combinations.
  2. They can apply the axioms of probability and the concept of conditional probability to problems.
  3. They can define and distinguish between discrete and continuous random variables.
  4. They can calculate the expected value, variance, and moments of random variables.
  5. They can recognize standard probability distributions (Binomial, Poisson, Normal, etc.) and apply them to real-life problems.

Core Area Distribution

(46) Mathematics and Statistics%100

Teaching Methods

ExpressionQuestion-AnswerExercise and PracticeProblem Solving

Assessment & Evaluation

Testing (Essay / Tests: True-Falls, multiple-choice, short answer, matching)

ECTS / Workload

ActivityQuantityDuration (h)Total Workload
Course Duration (Including Exam Week)16232
Out of Class Study Period16232
Midterm155
Quiz000
Assignment000
Practice000
Final166

Course Schedule

WeekSubjectPreparation
1Counting Methods I: The basic principle of counting (multiplication and addition rules), the concept of permutations, applications of circular and repetitive permutations.A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
2Counting Methods II: The concept and properties of combinations, the binomial theorem and its expansion, and its relationship with Pascal's triangle.A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
3Introduction to Probability: Sample space, types of events, definition of probability (classical, frequency, axiomatic), axioms of probability, and fundamental theorems.A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
4Conditional Probability: Definition of conditional probability, multiplication rule, independent events, the exact probability theorem, and Bayes' Theorem.A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
5Geometric Probability and Random Variables: Geometric probability problems (length, area, volume). Introduction to the concept of random variables.A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
6Probability Functions: Discrete and continuous sample spaces. Probability mass function (PMF) and Probability density function (PDF). Cumulative distribution function (CDF).A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
7Measures of Central Tendency and Dispersion: Expected value, variance, and standard deviation of random variables.A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
8Moments: Moment generating functions (MGF), moments with respect to the origin and the mean.A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
9Midterm ExamMidterm Exam
10Discrete Probability Distributions: Bernoulli, Binomial, Geometric, Hypergeometric, and Poisson distributions; their properties and applications.A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
11Introduction to Continuous Probability Distributions: General properties of continuous distributions, general examples other than uniform distributions.A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
12Uniform Distribution: Discrete and continuous uniform distributions, graphs, expected value and variance calculations.A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
13Exponential Distribution: Definition of the exponential distribution, its relationship to the Poisson process, and its memory property.A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
14Normal Distribution I: Definition and properties of the normal (Gaussian) distribution, standard normal distribution (using Z-table).A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
15Normal Distribution II: Applications of the normal distribution, convergence of binomial and Poisson distributions to the normal distribution (introduction to the Central Limit Theorem).A preliminary study on the relevant chapter
16FINAL EXAMFinal Exam